@not_a_newt🇩🇪 Goodbye Merz? Two state elections are underway in Germany, and if the leading party, Merz's CDU performs badly, he most likely will be forced to resign. - Berlin is left-wing and will stay that way. No major shifts are expected; it is a liberal city. CDU will fall further, AFD will rise slightly. Most votes will likely go to the far left and the left. Crazy would be if the far-left "Left Party" were to overtake the CDU, and that is likely. - Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: here the AFD can take the lead and win the elections as the most popular party. The AFD would not be able to form a government as it is not expected to reach a majority. The other parties would form a coalition against it. But it could take another step towards popularity and creep forward. -> Merz is expected to resign if the CDU does not make it above 5% and secure parliamentary seats at all, for example.

@not_a_newt🇩🇪 Goodbye Merz? Two state elections are underway in Germany, and if the leading party, Merz's CDU performs badly, he most likely will be forced to resign. - Berlin is left-wing and will stay that way. No major shifts are expected; it is a liberal city. CDU will fall further, AFD will rise slightly. Most votes will likely go to the far left and the left. Crazy would be if the far-left "Left Party" were to overtake the CDU, and that is likely. - Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: here the AFD can take the lead and win the elections as the most popular party. The AFD would not be able to form a government as it is not expected to reach a majority. The other parties would form a coalition against it. But it could take another step towards popularity and creep forward. -> Merz is expected to resign if the CDU does not make it above 5% and secure parliamentary seats at all, for example.